پايگاه خبري سلام پرس

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The Root of Middle East instability

The endless Middle East conflict has been a headache to the world. The world does not seem to understand why in the modern age where peace is a common value, there is still much disharmony in the Middle East Region. Bush, the American president, has also stress that there is common vision of peace among Israel and his Middle East neighbour and remain optimistic. Yet Israel mentioned full scale military operation into Iran to destroy nuclear weapon yesterday, stall hopes of peace once again. As usual, American aillies, Israel, is conflicting American low oil price interest once again with the oil price spike immediately because of the proposed possible war that may led to oil supplies disruption.

Many people on the street may exclaim: why Israel and its same neighbour remains stubborn in taking a step backward despite their common vision of peace? Maybe it is religious affairs, remember Jerusalem is the prize of the games of war. It is nothing new as they have been wrestling over it for centuries. One Hollywood movie said: “Jerusalem is nothing and everything”. With Jew minority having it, how could the majority Muslim give it up and live in enjoy over losing their holy city. There is some truth in the previous statement in the previous statement. One holy city is sacred and cannot be shared by different religion and faith which accused each other to be false. But there is a pause: where is the christian claim over its Holy city? Isn’t the christian waiting for christ in Jerusalem? Why would any religion followers( Muslim, Jew, Christan)hunger for Jerusalem without God order or defy their god arrangement?

Therefore, everything in politics is more than meet the eyes. In my opinion, the root of Middle East instability is Middle East itself, the revival of a powerful Middle East. Whether they are the past Ottoman Empire, Achaemenid Persian Empire or Macedonian Empire, any combination of the block spell doom formation in the world. Defying Alexandra the Great wisdom of “divided and conquer” would result in defeats by unions. The immediate threat of invasion would be Middle East neighbour Europe, followed India, China or Africa, not mentioning other form of conflict. The British Empire understands the situation and it has somehow facilicated the creation of Iraq, Iran and other Middle East nation, dissolving Ottoman Empire, allowing peace and oil trade. An united Middle East will result in conflict of interest with their large neighbours. Located in less strategetic position for settlement, Middle East sits in the middle of the world among large continents such as Africa Europe & Asia. It has military and trade advantage of expansion which was also its main disadvantage. It is a contestable region or junction in which powerful continents empire need to battle in order to cross over to the other side of the world. It can act as a passage way or a barrier for expansion both in trade and milliary purposes. In view of its importance, it is often a political football which all players are keen to kick. Any outside third party would like to split the middle east which mean dividing their common interest to align and purse the new third party interest. If not, the aftermath maybe unfavourable like Opec which now refuse to lower oil prices. If cheap oil is needed to be avaliable in tight supply market, then the option has to be submissive parties or great bargaining power. Free market does not exist in reality. Thus, the disunifed Middle East has been plotted in centuries and today middle east conflict involving Israel, Iran, Syria, palestinain is the fruit of wonderful strategist. They can never have peace unless the balance of power in the region become a sole power. Some day, the region will united under one powerful nation, there will be peace. In mean time, false peace is encourage by third party to keep balance of power and forever disunity.

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